Columbus Blue Jackets: Trades Change Defensive Plans
In a whirlwind 72 hours, the Blue Jackets defense corps went from having multiple gaping holes, to having a surprising amount of strength and depth. And GM Jarmo Kekalainen was able to overhaul the back end, without giving up any of his own draft picks or prospects.
Jarmo has been outspoken about the team’s defensive needs after setting franchise records for goals against in each the last two seasons (300 in 2021-22, 330 in 2022-23). This summer, he’s gone out and changed the entire construction of his roster to try and improve upon this team’s goals against average.
First, on Tuesday, he went out and got Ivan Provorov from the Philadelphia Flyers. The former #7 overall pick (2015 – one slot ahead of Zach Werenski) had struggled in his last two seasons with the Flyers, leading to a mutual divorce from the team that drafted him. He was rumored to be seeking a change, and he gets that in being dealt to Columbus.
At one point considered a legitimate #1 defenseman in the NHL, Provorov will look to regain his confidence with the Jackets – a team who was desperately thin on the blue line last season. He’s been a durable, reliable player for the Flyers, a two-way presence who has missed only 16 games in his 7-year NHL career. He not only fits the stylistic mold for what the Jackets were hoping to add to their second pairing – his contract is a very palatable two years, $4.725m AAV with the retention by LA.
Honestly, it felt like picking up Provorov might just be enough to settle the Blue Jacket defense corps into respectability. But things were so awful for them this year (surrendering more than 4 goals against per game), that Jarmo went out and added another key piece, acquiring the negotiating rights to Damon Severson from the New Jersey Devils.
The Jackets and Devils execute a rare sign and trade here. Jarmo sends the Devils a high draft pick, in exchange for exclusive negotiating rights to Severson, who he quickly locks up with a full-term 8-year contract.
This is huge for the Jackets; had they waited until free agency to try and pitch Severson on Columbus, they would have had to bid against any other team in the league looking for help on the back end. Instead, they give up one of the draft picks they acquired in the Oliver Bjorkstrand trade – which also allows them to give Severson an eighth year on his deal.
Unlike Provorov, Severson is coming off of a really strong year with a high flying Devils team. He’s never been a big point producer, but he’s a steady, experienced two-way player who will immediately make it harder to play against the Jackets. He’s a good skater with an all-around presence, that should mesh really well with Provorov on the second defense pairing for the Jackets.
Bringing in two talented veteran defensemen suddenly creates a logjam on the blue line in Columbus. What do Severson and Provorov mean for some of the other players on this team?
The first thought I had when each of these trades were made was, that this buys the Jackets time to develop their prospects further. Provorov has two years remaining on his deal, which is perfect in my opinion. Stanislav Svozil should be ready to compete for a job in 2024, and there will be a spot for him behind Werenski and Provorov, should things remain the same. Denton Mateychuk will hopefully come along in 2025, and take Provorov’s place.
Things changed big time down the right side, however. I was a little bit surprised to see them sign Severson for a full 8-year term, given the depth they already have there, and the prospects on the way. David Jiricek looks really close to being NHL ready, and Corson Ceulemans will eventually need a spot as well.
But even discounting those two this season, the right side for the Jackets is very crowded. Severson joins Adam Boqvist, Andrew Peeke, Erik Gudbranson, and Nick Blankenburg; giving them five players battling for three jobs (make it six, if you count Jiricek). Obviously, much like the forward group for the Jackets, something has to give here.
Who are the odd men out? Yes, I said men. I think they could trade two of these guys away, hopefully eyeing an upgrade somewhere else in the lineup (dare we say, a top-two line center?). I see the depth chart like this:
Werenski – Boqvist
Provorov – Severson
Bean – Gudbranson
Peeke, Blankenburg, Jiricek, Berni
You can re-arrange the top-four however you want, but I feel like those are the guys who are going to carry most of the heavy minutes for this team. Erik Gudbranson’s contract means he’ll definitely anchor that third pairing, and I pencil in Jake Bean because, well, he’s the best remaining LHD they have.
REVERSE HIT BY JAKE BEAN 😱 pic.twitter.com/csWtfhn4vB
— ESPN+ (@ESPNPlus) October 21, 2022
Of the extras, if Jiricek comes to camp and shows that he’s ready for a big time role on this team, that could spell doom for Adam Boqvist. Boqvist actually paired really well with Werenski and they showed out solid – even defensively – in their brief early season run together. So, if giving Jiricek another year to marinate is the worst thing that happens, I think they will be okay.
Nick Blankenburg, in my opinion, is the perfect 7th man to keep around. He’s a spark plug that you can slot into the lineup on any pairing, and he’ll bring energy and two-way swagger. He’s even shown that he can play on the left side – something none of the other right hand shooters were able to do last year. Tim Berni stood in and did a nice job giving this team minutes this last season, but let’s face it – if he’s on the roster in any premier role, we’re probably facing another lottery pick type season.
With ten defensemen fighting for six or seven jobs, the Jackets have set themselves up to have a far more competitive team this season. But first, they’ll have to send some guys back out. Can they use these pieces to improve other areas of the lineup?
There are three players off of that list of defensemen that I think this team could shop around the league. Each have different skillsets and values, so moving one, or even two of them, could lead this team in vastly different directions. They could bring back picks/prospects, or toss them into a deal with picks/prospects of their own, along with some depth pieces from the forward group, and make a bigger splash.
Right off the bat: Andrew Peeke just became a redundant piece for the Blue Jackets. His three year extension kicks in this summer, paying him $2.75m per season; which is a term and rate that is easily picked up by a team looking for a third pairing defenseman. The Jackets acquiring Gudbranson and Severson down the right side in each of the last two summers, tells us all we need to know about Peeke’s future with the team.
As far as a return here, it’s probably pretty minimal, considering the fact that Peeke is a defensive defenseman who just posted a league-worst -41 rating. Still, he’s an NHL player, and maybe a change of scenery (with fewer minutes) can help him find his way in the league again. He’s the most obvious trade candidate for this team at this point.
Jake Bean missed most of last season with a shoulder injury, and time seems to be running short for him. He’s struggled to carve out a niche for himself in the NHL to this point, but he’s a talented two-way presence who could still become a solid middle pairing guy in this league. He was showing signs of that before he went down with injury last season.
But, the Jackets have younger, more talented players coming along – and Bean still hasn’t done anything to really establish himself on this roster. He’s now buried solidly on the third pairing, behind two very good defensemen in Zach Werenski and Ivan Provorov. He’s got one year remaining at $2.33m – so if he plays on the third pair, it’s not the end of the world. But, if a team likes him enough to take him in part of a deal to upgrade another position, the Jackets would be wise to strike here. They can always throw Nick Blankenburg into this role – or sign a replacement-level player to help buy time for Stanislav Svozil.
Adam Boqvist is the most unique defenseman the Blue Jackets have, in my opinion. He’s also far and away the most valuable trade chip they have on the back end at this time (assuming they aren’t trading any of Werenski, Provorov, or Severson). If they were to put Boqvist’s name out as a potentila trade chip, I feel like they could really go big game hunting and acquire a major difference maker up front.
A lot of this hinges on how they feel about the rest of the defensemen. Boqvist is a terrific puck mover, who will certainly lock down one of the power-play units when he’s in the lineup. He was really productive this season, even though he struggled to stay healthy. Really, he looks like he’s ready to be a big time contributor in the NHL. So, we come to a crossroads here: do the Jackets feel confident enough in the rest of their defense corps to move on?
"Fine. I'll do it myself" - Adam Boqvist pic.twitter.com/8F0zLiIv6O
— Sportsnet (@Sportsnet) February 23, 2022
In my opinion, if they believe David Jiricek is ready, Boqvist will be shopped this summer. They could get a really nice return on a guy who was the 8th overall pick in his draft, is still only 22 years old, and who has shown a penchant for putting up good scoring numbers already. They have fall-back options for their power-play units as well. Werenski will lock down the job on the top unit, and they could run with one of Provorov, Severson, Jiricek, Bean, or Blankenburg for the second unit job. All of those guys are capable puck movers.
Suddenly, the Jacket blue line looks more than formidable. They have a ton of options now, and with the draft still 18 days away, plenty of time to make adjustments to this roster. They’re just a couple of centers away from icing a playoff contender next season, assuming the goaltending gets back on course. Buckle up, the offseason is just getting started.
Next. Blue Jackets Acquire Defenseman Damon Severson. dark