Statistical Predictions for the 2023-24 Columbus Blue Jackets

Jan 14, 2023; Detroit, Michigan, USA; Columbus Blue Jackets left wing Patrik Laine (29) celebrates his goal with left wing Johnny Gaudreau (13) and center Jack Roslovic (96) during the first period against the Detroit Red Wings at Little Caesars Arena. Mandatory Credit: Tim Fuller-USA TODAY Sports
Jan 14, 2023; Detroit, Michigan, USA; Columbus Blue Jackets left wing Patrik Laine (29) celebrates his goal with left wing Johnny Gaudreau (13) and center Jack Roslovic (96) during the first period against the Detroit Red Wings at Little Caesars Arena. Mandatory Credit: Tim Fuller-USA TODAY Sports
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The middle six forward group has to produce better this year…

Kent Johnson 79GP, 21G, 48A, 69Pts … I’m taking another educated guess here and saying that Kent Johnson will finish second on the team in points and assists this year. I don’t think that’s really a stretch – he finished fourth in assists and fifth in points last season, and he should be more prepared heading into his second NHL season. I don’t have him quite getting to 70 points, but I do not think that’s out of reach. He’ll be a star under Mike Babcock.

Jack Roslovic 68GP, 16G, 24A, 40Pts … If Adam Fantilli (more on him later) proves he’s ready for a big role on this team, no player will suffer more than Jack Roslovic, who will probably find himself out of a top-six job. Still, he’s been a consistent producer for this team and I think he’ll get a little bit of a productivity bump because he’ll be playing with Johnson and Laine to start the year – with an offensive system that should help him. And, he’s in a contract year. We all know how that goes with talented guys.

Patrik Laine 69GP, 40G, 28A, 68Pts … Yes, I think Patrik Laine will see a bump from his career-average of ~31 goals this year. He’s healthy, motivated, and I think few players will benefit more from Babcock’s system than Laine. He has a world class shot and should be easily capable of scoring 40 goals in this league – especially if he can stay healthy and improve upon that average of 69 games per season.

aMar 17, 2023; Anaheim, California, USA; Columbus Blue Jackets left wing Patrik Laine (29) shoots the puck against the Anaheim Ducks in the first period at Honda Center. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports
aMar 17, 2023; Anaheim, California, USA; Columbus Blue Jackets left wing Patrik Laine (29) shoots the puck against the Anaheim Ducks in the first period at Honda Center. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

Alexandre Texier 65GP, 15G, 15A, 30Pts … Texier may be the hardest player to predict on the entire roster. When he first came over from Europe, he stepped up and looked like a future second line center. But he dropped off, then started to recover … then headed back to Europe. It’s not impossible to see him on one of the power-play units, but it will be tough. I think he’ll more likely be a key penalty killer and secondary producer on this team, playing in the bottom-six. He has the skill to post nearly a half point-per-game average against secondary competition.

Adam Fantilli 78GP, 30G, 27A, 57Pts … My guess for Fantilli may seem a little bit high, but I think he’ll be on the top line alongside Gaudreau before too long. And, I think he’ll become the new net-front guy on the first power-play unit, especially if Jenner should go down with injury again. If those things happen, he’s very capable of being a 30 goal rookie in the NHL, and I definitely think he’ll be a top-six contributor to this team.

COLUMBUS, OH – DECEMBER 04: Yegor Chinakhov #59 of the Columbus Blue Jackets controls the puck during the game against the Detroit Red Wings at Nationwide Arena on December 4, 2022 in Columbus, Ohio. (Photo by Kirk Irwin/Getty Images)
COLUMBUS, OH – DECEMBER 04: Yegor Chinakhov #59 of the Columbus Blue Jackets controls the puck during the game against the Detroit Red Wings at Nationwide Arena on December 4, 2022 in Columbus, Ohio. (Photo by Kirk Irwin/Getty Images)

Yegor Chinakhov 68GP, 21G, 16A, 37Pts … Another player that’s hard to project, Chinakhov feels like he’s entering a make or break year for the Jackets. He has everything a coach like Mike Babcock will love: he’s big, skates well, plays hard on both sides of the puck, and can score goals. I’m optimistic that he can be a productive goal scorer this year.