Columbus Blue Jackets 2023 NHL Draft Preview and Predictions
We’re just one day away from the first round of the 2023 NHL Draft. The Blue Jackets currently hold seven picks, including the third overall selection, where they’re expected to take their future #1 center.
The drama may very well begin with that Jacket pick, if things go according to plan. There is virtually zero doubt that the Chicago Blackhawks will make Regina Pats superstar Connor Bedard the first overall selection. After that, it’s likely that the Anaheim Ducks will take University of Michigan center Adam Fantilli with the second pick.
With the Jackets sitting third, things are less than clear. If you’re listening to the experts, Swedish forward Leo Carlsson is on a tier by himself as the third best player in this draft. He’s expected to go to Columbus, and he meets all of the parameters you would want in a future top line center. But, if there’s one thing we know about Jarmo Kekalainen and his scouting staff here: they don’t always make the trendy or expected pick.
If they choose not to go with Leo Carlsson, there are is one other center option. The rumblings of the insiders over the last few days point to the Jackets having a keen interest in USNTDP center Will Smith. He wouldn’t be an “off the board” pick (most people see him going anywhere from pick 3-6) – but, it would be a little bit of drama, if you have followed along with the draft rankings and coverage.
There is also the off change that Anaheim takes either Carlsson or Russian forward Matvei Michkov second overall – that would be more than bold considering the season Fantilli had this year. If that were the case, I see zero chance that the Jackets pass on Fantilli, regardless how strongly they feel about any of the other prospects.
List of current CBJ Draft Picks at the 2023 NHL Draft:
First round (#3 overall)
Second round (#34 overall)
Third round (#66 overall)
Fourth round (#98 overall)
Fourth round (#114 overall – from WPG)
Fifth round (#156 overall – from BOS)
Seventh round (#194 overall)
Round 1 of the draft will be broadcast nationally on ESPN, beginning at 7:00PM Eastern, Wednesday night. Rounds 2-7 will be broadcast via the NHL Network on Thursday, beginning at 11:00AM Eastern. As far as what we think will happen, well, we do have some predictions…
All of the draft rankings are out, and once you get past the first five or so picks in this draft, things differ wildly depending on which one you look at. Like everyone else, we have our own thoughts on where certain guys should be picked. For the Jackets however, it comes down to strategies.
With their first round pick, a lot of things hinge on what happens right in front of them. Let’s assume that Anaheim goes “boring” and picks Adam Fantilli second overall. If that happens, my wild prediction here is really not wild at all: I think it’s going to be Leo Carlsson to the Jackets with pick number three.
Some scouts say the gap from Fantilli isn’t that far. Some scouts say the gap from Carlsson to Smith isn’t that far. A lot of them disagree on which gap is closer; but when you break it all down and look at the whole picture, Carlsson to the Jackets just makes so much more sense. This franchise has long desired a big bodied, skilled, 200-foot center.
If they didn’t already have a couple of highly skilled play-driving wingers in Johnny Gaudreau and Kent Johnson, I think they might consider Will Smith a little bit harder here. But, the opportunity to draft a player like Carlsson is extremely rare, and I just have a hard time seeing them pass on this kind of center. The last time they picked this high, they passed on the “consensus third best player” (Jesse Puljujarvi) … and drafted a big bodied, two-way center instead. I expect the same outcome here.
The other thing I see coming in tomorrow’s first round is a little bit bolder and more exciting: some of the roster questions get answered via trade. Whether it’s shipping out players that will be pushed out of the lineup this fall for other picks or prospects – or via a large upgrade at the center position – I think Jarmo will be very active. It will be fascinating to follow, and I suggest tuning in, if you can.
After the first round, things get a lot muddier. The Jackets will certainly have their own list of 100 or so players to pick, and I expect them to mostly stick to that list in the order they have it. Meaning whichever player is ranked the highest on their own list and still on the board at #34, will be picked there no matter their position. Likely, they will mention how that player was much higher on their list than the slot they landed him.
For rounds 3-7, my only real prediction is that they are going to take at least one goaltender. The pipeline is pretty thin there, and this is one draft where there are some really good options between the pipes. It’s also possible that they will acquire more picks or trade picks around at the draft, that’s pretty common for an active GM like Kekalainen. They might see a player they like and try to move up; or trade down and add more picks later.
We’ll be live tweeting during the draft tomorrow, and will have full in-depth feature articles on each pick in the days following the draft. Be sure to stay tuned to our social media channels, and visit unionandblue.com regularly!